USDA’s week crop update continued to deliver bearish news in the market and time is running out for weather to change the supply side. With corn now 60 percent in the dent stage, ratings continue to be heavily slanted to the good/excellent end of the range.
The widely followed ProFarmer Crop Tour corn yield came in a little below some earlier estimates (see Corn Rating Inches Lower; Soybeans Improve), at 170.2 bu./acre, but the difference wasn’t enough to feed bullish notions.
|
State
|
Percent Dented
|
Good/Excellent
|
Poor/Very Poor
|
|
|
Aug. 28
|
Aug. 28
|
Aug. 21
|
Aug. 28
|
Aug. 21
|
|
18 States
|
60
|
75
|
75
|
7
|
7
|
|
Iowa
|
65
|
83
|
83
|
4
|
4
|
|
Nebraska
|
61
|
75
|
75
|
6
|
6
|
|
South Dakota
|
45
|
52
|
53
|
18
|
17
|
Soybeans
The high end of soybean ratings actually increased compared with a week ago for the 18 states as well as the states we serve, and only South Dakota saw a 1-point worsening in poor/very poor in our territory.
|
State
|
Percent Pod Setting
|
Good/Excellent
|
Poor/Very Poor
|
|
|
Aug. 28
|
Aug. 28
|
Aug. 21
|
Aug. 28
|
Aug. 21
|
|
18 States
|
94
|
73
|
72
|
7
|
7
|
|
Iowa
|
96
|
82
|
82
|
4
|
4
|
|
Nebraska
|
96
|
77
|
76
|
4
|
5
|
|
South Dakota
|
96
|
59
|
59
|
13
|
12
|
ProFarmer’s soybean yield was actually higher than estimates we quoted two weeks ago, at 49.3 bu./acre. That’s right on target with the 49.6 bu. estimated by TellusLabs, which bases its projections on satellite imagery.
In fact, one map on their website shows 50.7 bu.
Weather Impacts
There are some who still believe harvested yields will fall a bit short of projections. For instance, the National Weather Service reports there were almost three dozen tornadoes reported on the ground on August 24 in Indiana and Ohio alone, though it is uncertain how many acres may have been affected. Meanwhile, several tropical depressions could spell more rain in the soggy South.
