COMMON GROUND BLOG

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Half of Corn Silking in Heat

In the week ended July 17, USDA’s 18-state corn condition held steady at 76 percent good/very good and five percent poor/very poor.

South Dakota saw the share rated “fair” shrink as 6 percentage points moved into good/very good, while 2 additional percentage points were rated poor/very poor. Iowa and Nebraska showed very little or no change.

More than half the crop (56 percent) now is silking – well ahead of the five-year average of 46 percent.

State

Percent silking

Good/Very Good

Poor/Very Poor

 

July 17

July 17

July 10

July 17

July 10

18 States

56

76

76

5

5

Iowa

67

81

79

4

4

Nebraska

55

80

80

4

4

South Dakota

37

73

67

11

9

 

Soybeans

USDA now reports 59 percent of soybeans blooming and 18 percent pod setting, both ahead of average (49 and 13 percent respectively).

Only minor changes were seen in soybean condition, as well: The 18 state ratings were steady on the top end and increased one percentage point on the poor end. Iowa’s good/very good ratings jumped three points, while Nebraska’s and South Dakota’s fell one and three points, respectively.  

State

Good/Very Good

Poor/Very Poor

 

July 17

July 10

July 17

July 10

18 States

71

71

7

6

Iowa

80

77

4

5

Nebraska

77

78

4

4

South Dakota

66

69

7

7

 

Weather impacts

The bad news is the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s one-month and three-month (shown) maps both indicate above-normal chance of hot weather, boding ill for corn pollination. This will keep traders interested the condition of the growing crops.

3 month outlook
The good news for growers is that some long-term weather prognosticators, including Creighton University Meteorologist Art Douglas, have declared that the 20-year drought cycle has reversed. “The ocean temperature pattern that prevailed from 1998 through 2013 has reversed. Twenty-fourteen and fifteen were asterisks,” he said. “Now we are in a long-term cooling phase like we saw in 1976-1997.” This eventually will lead to cooler temperatures and more rainfall from California across to Georgia, while the upper Midwest will be cooler but also a bit drier, he predicted.

seasonal outlook
In fact, the CPC’s seasonal drought outlook for June 16-Sept. 30 shows the Corn Belt largely free of drought tendency this year, although the drought along the West Coast may actually spread northward.

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